Back to the MoU?

Ukraine’s drone attack on the Iranian ship in the Caspian Sea on Saturday, in my view, was a desperate attempt by Zelensky to pander to Donald Trump and show his willingness to sacrifice more Ukrainians in a war that has nothing whatsoever to do with Ukraine. As you can read in the captioned image above, Iran reportedly is gearing up to hit Ukraine with a missile or two. My guess, if it happens, is that Iran will go after targets in Odesa.

… we are getting some hints that Pakistan and Qatar are working to revive the now defunct MoU. The latest news from Interfax is a clue:

Benjamin Netanyahu has informed his cabinet ministers that the United States is insisting on the withdrawal of Israeli troops from Syria, Lebanon, and the Gaza Strip,according to Channel 13, citing a well-informed source.

According to the television channel’s source, Washington is interested in the Israel Defense Forces carrying out a “series of withdrawals” on three fronts, but does not specify whether this refers to a complete or partial withdrawal of troops.

This tells me that the Iranians are insisting, as a precondition to revive the MoU, that the first paragraph of the now inactive MoU must be complied with, i.e., Israel pulls out of Lebanon and Gaza. While Bibi insists that he will firmly resist Trump, Israel’s dependence on the US for imports of critical diesel and jet fuel gives Trump critical leverage over Netanyahu and Israel.

Read the entire Sonar21 post …

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