Ceasefire?

Now both sides have announced a major ceasefire deal—or so it seems on the surface:

Trump boasts that Iran bent the knee to him in fear of the awe-inspiring genocide he had promised to commit. In reality, Gulf countries likely pressed Pakistan to intervene because they knew Trump’s ineffective bombing campaign would do nothing more than spur Iran to finish off their own countries’ energy infrastructures.

Further, note that Iran, via Araghchi, specifies it was US that requested negotiations and presumably the ceasefire, and that the ceasefire itself is conditionalIF attacks against Iran are halted.

Secondly, Hormuz will be reopened under the aegis of the Iranian Armed Forces.

It is interesting that Trump in his message admits he has received Iran’s 10-point peace plan and that it can serve as a workable basis for negotiations. That is shocking because Iran’s published 10-point plan is extremely maximalist in nature and would serve as an unprecedented defeat of the United States if implemented even in part.
Continue reding Simplicius …

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4 responses to “Ceasefire?”

  1. Roth, Simplicius substack article today is stupendous! Absolutely fantastic analysis.

  2. The truth from the Trump administration has proven so singular that one must hesitate to reference as plural.

  3. I don’t think that “genocide” word means what he thinks it means… But then pejoratives today are hurled about with no regard for accuracy. Racist being the prime example.

  4. General "Buck" Turgedson Avatar
    General “Buck” Turgedson

    The USA was desperate to find an off-ramp… any off ramp that existed as this war was going south. Now there will be a tense peace between the USA and Iran… all the while, Israel will be attempting to re-ignite open hostilities at every opportunity. If it all breaks down, Israel will be the culprit.

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