If You Thought Pre-War Iran was a Threat, You Haven’t Seen Anything Yet

This is an important read: Leading military scholar has studied the body language of crowds turning out at Ayatollah’s funeral and doesn’t like what he sees. Trump acts surprised by funeral turnout.

An estimated 10 to 15 million Iranians turned out over the weekend to mourn at the funeral for the Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, a revered figure throughout Shia Islam who was killed along with his wife, granddaughter and other family members by a U.S./Israeli missile on Feb. 28.

Iranians are in no mood to be gracious or polite, says Dr. Robert Pape, an expert on mass psychology in the geo-political realm, especially as it relates to war. They want revenge.

Pape, a professor at the University of Chicago and one of the leading scholars on coercion, military airpower, and political violence, says the Ayatollah’s funeral has shifted the balance of political will in Iran’s favor, four-and-a-half months into the war.

In a podcast interview with At the Water’s Edge, Pape breaks down why wars cannot be won with air power alone and explains how this strategy can actually backfire and stir up anger in a society, while at the same time unifying its will to carry out revenge.

Even President Trump acted surprised by the turnout for the Ayatollah’s funeral.

Trump expressing that he expected the late leader to be widely unpopular.

Trump remarked, “I was shocked. I thought people hated him,” after witnessing the emotional response from mourners.

This shows how detached from reality Trump is due to his propensity to listen to all the wrong people in the realm of foreign policy.

In essence, Trump has kicked a hornet’s nest and opened Pandora’s box.

h/t WRSA

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3 responses to “If You Thought Pre-War Iran was a Threat, You Haven’t Seen Anything Yet”

  1. Tragedy of the Commons Avatar
    Tragedy of the Commons

    There were leaders of some other countries who were going to
    attend the funeral but were threatened by the u.s. not to attend.
    The u.s. has only one country; stay the Hell out of others.

  2. Ahhh, I have a different take on the funeral procession. The people that were there showed up cause if they didn’t show up, the IRG would be retaliating against the population. Why do I say that? My analysis of the crowd body language is: A bunch of people showed up cause if they didn’t, there would be retribution for the no show. There was no fervor, no emotion. Look at the flag waving. The drifting about of individual;. crying crocodile tears, cause if they didn’t, the consequences would be severe. It’s a totalitarian thing like Stalinist Russia, or Mao’s China.

    Having said that, I’m not discounting Iran’s ability to inflict a serious wound upon the US. Trump has indeed gotten our country into a serious conflict. The outcome of which is soon to be revealed.

  3. Most of those present were there by threat of retaliation. The radical muzzies running Iran are a minority. And anyone not doing heir bidding risks death. Most of the Persians with the will to resist Islam left and came to America and he west. Those remaining are not up to doing what’s required to regain their freedom. And it doesn’t help that Moscow and Beijing are helping prop up the muzzies in power as part of their asymmetrical war against us.

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