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  • One Billion Robots

    Humans do not become irrelevant just because robots outproduce them on labor metrics. Musk’s recent statements (primarily the G20 remarks and earlier Forbes comments) project ~1 billion humanoid robots in ~10 years (with a looser “maybe a billion” possibility in 5), each potentially ~5× a human’s output, so their aggregate productivity exceeds humanity’s. Recursive manufacturing accelerates this. That is a serious forecast of extreme abundance in goods and services, not a literal extinction of human value.

    Productivity is not the sole measure of relevance. Consciousness, subjective experience, relationships, curiosity, aesthetic judgment, moral agency, and the capacity to set goals for the systems themselves remain human (or at least biological) domains for the foreseeable future. An economy that can produce almost anything does not automatically answer “what is worth producing or experiencing?”

    Practical responses for people who take the timeline seriously

    • Own a claim on the productivity. Capital ownership is the most direct hedge. Equity in the companies building the AI, chips, energy, and robots (and the infrastructure around them) captures the upside of the abundance. Physical assets that remain scarce—well-located land, energy production, certain commodities—also retain value when labor is abundant and capital is the bottleneck. Pure wage dependence becomes riskier.
    • Shift from “selling hours” to “directing or creating.” The scarce skills move upstream: defining problems worth solving, high-level system design, taste/curation, scientific curiosity, and governance of the machines. People who can productively use the robots and AI as leverage (rather than compete with them on routine execution) stay useful longer.
    • Treat purpose as a separate problem from income. In an abundance scenario the economic problem shrinks; the meaning problem grows. Historical precedents (aristocracies, early retirees, certain religious or scholarly communities) show that humans invent status, achievement, exploration, art, relationships, and self-mastery when material scarcity drops. Deliberately cultivate non-instrumental activities—deep relationships, physical mastery, creative work that is not optimized for market value, understanding the universe—before the transition forces the issue.
    • Build optionality and resilience. Geographic mobility, multiple income streams during the transition, strong social networks, and basic competence in the tools (prompting, robotics interfaces, data) reduce fragility. Avoid lifestyle inflation that assumes permanent high returns to average human labor.
    • Engage the governance layer. The distribution of the gains, the alignment of the systems, energy constraints, and safety are not automatic. People who understand the trajectory early can influence policy, standards, and culture around ownership, universal basic provision, and what “human flourishing” means when labor is optional. Ignoring the politics cedes the outcome to others.

    Musk has repeatedly framed the upside as an “age of abundance” in which work becomes optional and people pursue what they find meaningful; the downside risks are misalignment, concentrated control, or energy/resource bottlenecks rather than simple obsolescence of all humans. The individuals who recognize the scale earliest are best positioned to own assets, shape norms, and invent the post-labor purposes rather than wait to be told what they are. The alternative—assuming total irrelevance and paralysis—is self-fulfilling and unnecessary.”

    “Elon Musk has not specified a definitive monthly dollar amount for his proposed Universal High Income (UHI), but he has cited $3,000 per month as an illustrative figure that would become a “genuinely prosperous life” if AI and robotics reduce the cost of living by more than half. 

    Musk distinguishes UHI from traditional Universal Basic Income (UBI), arguing that AI and robotics will produce goods and services far in excess of money supply growth, eliminating inflation and making work optional within approximately 20 years.  He posits that this abundance will render poverty obsolete and money “irrelevant,” shifting the societal challenge from financial survival to finding meaning without mandatory labor.”

  • Do Men Need an Excuse?

    I posted this because it reminded me of an incident that changed my outlook on life. I had a client come into my office and started to shout at me about some work we had done for him. I considered him to be a friend and his comments were not based in facts. I considered shouting back but was told to do a simple act. I asked him why he was upset. He immediately calmed down and told me that he had just come from a construction meeting that had not gone well.

    I realized that he was taking out his frustration on me and just listened. Because people do not listen to other people. That experience taught me to ask people what I could do to help them. I was surprised at their responses and the change in their attitude.

    I personally do not physically want anything from other people. I do want people to research and make decisions based on facts. I do not want people to “take my word” on an issue to base their decisions.

    I have also found that asking questions can quickly determine another person’s state of mind. Everyone has seen it: you ask a question and the person lashes out irrationally. There is nothing you can do with frustrated people who live in fear and denial. I wonder what would happen if people just asked other people how they can be of assistance?

  • Beef

    Trump knew about the issues with beef production and FDA requirements long before being “enlightened” by Glenn Beck. This is an appeasement which will do nothing to alleviate our food poisoning and high pricing.

    Buying meat from Argentina is a payout to both Milei and Israel. Israel is pulling the same strings in Argentina as they are in the United States.

    I would like to think that Americans are more aware of how evil the government has become. Oh look, a deer. What time does the football game start?

  • Tucker – Oklahoma City Bombing

  • If You Use Facebook…

  • Thoughts?

    From Grok:

    If found not criminally responsible, Lindsay Clancy would not go free.

    The murder charges would be dismissed, but she’d stay in a secure psych facility: up to 40 days observation, then a 6-month commitment that can be renewed yearly with no time limit if she’s still deemed mentally ill and dangerous.

    Release requires a later court finding she’s no longer a threat. The DA can oppose it. In homicide NCR cases this often lasts years or decades.

  • A Warning?

    Anyone under about 35 years old won’t understand the reference. This is what it looks like when you are plugging the VCR into the TV, and I don’t think they’re getting ready to play their old bootleg copy of Star Wars.

  • Spineless Weasels

  • Huckabee Should Register as a Foreign Agent

  • Follow the Gold

    What do these foreign governments know that would make them repatriate their gold? The answer is found using Occam’s Razor.

  • Tucker – Enjeti

  • No Justice

    How much longer?

  • And They Still Are Destroying the Country

  • Stablecoin Scheme

  • AGI Released?

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